peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,270
|
Post by peterl on May 3, 2024 3:35:34 GMT
Per the Bristol Post
"The turnout for the whole Avon and Somerset area is 23.14%.
183,016 people headed to the ballots to vote in the police and crime commissioner election (a turnout among in-person voters of 14.05%).
Meanwhile there were 118,399 postal votes (a turnout amount postal voters of 52.61%).
That's 301,415 people voting out of an electorate of 1,302,568"
|
|
peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,270
|
Post by peterl on May 3, 2024 3:49:41 GMT
Somerset
Mark Shelford (Conservative) - 31,042 Benet Allen (Liberal Democrat) - 21,369 Clare Moody (Labour) - 14,692 Katy Grant (Green) - 10,850
Turnout 17.82%
I make the running total so far
Con 71,218 Lab 48,762 LD 35,452 Grn 27,248
with only Bristol to go.
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on May 3, 2024 3:57:50 GMT
Labour were about 16,000 votes ahead of the Conservatives in Bristol last time so..
|
|
|
Post by willpower3 on May 3, 2024 4:09:05 GMT
Just under 120k votes cast in Bristol based on the above figures. Labour should be fine unless the Greens and/or Lib Dems have hoovered up their votes.
|
|
r34t
Non-Aligned
Posts: 874
|
Post by r34t on May 3, 2024 4:31:18 GMT
Just under 120k votes cast in Bristol based on the above figures. Labour should be fine unless the Greens and/or Lib Dems have hoovered up their votes. You have seen how 134,000 votes split last time 🤔
|
|
peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,270
|
Post by peterl on May 3, 2024 4:45:57 GMT
Apparently the result may be close enough in Bristol for recounts to be requested.
|
|
YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,369
|
Post by YL on May 3, 2024 6:30:36 GMT
Bristol
Lab 47220 Green 37375 Con 19788 Lib Dem 10412
Overall
Lab 95982 Con 91006 Green 64623 Lib Dem 45864
Lab gain from Con
... in spite of what looks like a very impressive Green performance for one of these posts
|
|
|
Post by edgbaston on May 3, 2024 6:33:59 GMT
Based on these results I feel there may be a couple of PCCs where the conservatives hold on with 30% of the vote
|
|
jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 6,893
|
Post by jamie on May 3, 2024 6:44:17 GMT
BristolLab 47220 Green 37375 Con 19788 Lib Dem 10412 Slightly increase in the Labour lead over the Greens FWIW
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on May 3, 2024 6:52:20 GMT
I think Lab can be a bit relieved there- that’s quite a small swing from 2021
Lab 32.3% (+8.6) Con 30.6% (-4.1) Green 21.7% (+5.3) LD 15.4% (+2)
|
|
|
Post by willpower3 on May 3, 2024 8:26:17 GMT
Based on these results I feel there may be a couple of PCCs where the conservatives hold on with 30% of the vote All three 'progressive' parties have big areas of strength here. Can't be the case in many other PCC areas.
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on May 3, 2024 8:30:05 GMT
Sussex for one - Thames Valley to an extent. Their problem is that the support overlaps and is interchangeable in some of those areas (Bristol/Brighton/Reading/Oxford) /
|
|
Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,826
|
Post by Harry Hayfield on May 3, 2024 9:46:19 GMT
BristolLab 47220 Green 37375 Con 19788 Lib Dem 10412 Turnout 114,795 vs 136,583 last time Vote last time: Lab 45,973, Green 37,141, Con 28,442, Lib Dem 13,930, Ind 11,097 On the face of it, Lab vote down 1,300, Green vote essentially unchanged, Con vote down 9,000, Lib Dem up 3,000, Ind voters stayed home Suggestion for Bristol City Council: Too close to call
|
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,371
|
Post by Tony Otim on May 3, 2024 9:49:08 GMT
BristolLab 47220 Green 37375 Con 19788 Lib Dem 10412 Turnout 114,795 vs 136,583 last time Vote last time: Lab 45,973, Green 37,141, Con 28,442, Lib Dem 13,930, Ind 11,097 On the face of it, Lab vote down UP 1,300, Green vote essentially unchanged, Con vote down 9,000, Lib Dem up DOWN 3,000, Ind voters stayed home Suggestion for Bristol City Council: Too close to call
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on May 5, 2024 20:46:42 GMT
Bath and North East Somerset
Con 10281 34.6% Lab 9526 32% Green 5088 17.1% LD 4859 16.3%
Bristol
Lab 47220 41.1% Green 37375 32.6% Con 19788 17,2% LD 10412 9.1%
North Somerset
Con 12367 40.8% Lab 9352 30.9% Green 5027 16.6% LD 3546 11.7%
Somerset
Con 31042 39.8% LD 21369 27,4% Lab 14692 18.8% Green 10850 14%
South Glos
Con 17528 39.2% Lab 15192 34% Green 6283 14.1% LD 5678 12.7%
|
|
r34t
Non-Aligned
Posts: 874
|
Post by r34t on May 6, 2024 8:04:46 GMT
BristolLab 47220 Green 37375 Con 19788 Lib Dem 10412 Turnout 114,795 vs 136,583 last time Vote last time: Lab 45,973, Green 37,141, Con 28,442, Lib Dem 13,930, Ind 11,097 On the face of it, Lab vote down 1,300, Green vote essentially unchanged, Con vote down 9,000, Lib Dem up 3,000, Ind voters stayed home Suggestion for Bristol City Council: Too close to call I’m afraid that prediction hasn’t aged well
|
|
Sharon
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 2,526
|
Post by Sharon on May 6, 2024 15:16:55 GMT
Very pleased for Clare Moody - I was one of the panel who interviewed her, she certainly understood what the role entailed.
|
|