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Post by bjornhattan on May 7, 2024 7:06:18 GMT
Wetherby and Easingwold would be the one question mark for me - though clearly this is both a West Yorkshire and a North Yorkshire seat. Even then, Labour's performance in North Yorkshire means they must have at least done reasonably well in the Easingwold half of that seat (and on those Leeds numbers even places like Wetherby must have been only modestly Conservative, if at all).
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Post by batman on May 7, 2024 7:52:32 GMT
well in the Leeds council elections the Tories were still a long way ahead of Labour in both Harewood & Wetherby wards which I think are the only W Yorks element of the new seat aren't they. So if we count that as a W Yorks seat a Labour totality in W Yorks is basically nigh impossible surely
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Post by borisminor on May 7, 2024 7:57:16 GMT
Personally I've always counted Wetherby and Easingwold as a North Yorkshire seat as that is where most of the votes are but if Labour gained that seat it would be Ed Davey as Leader of the Opposition territory.
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Post by bjornhattan on May 7, 2024 8:00:08 GMT
well in the Leeds council elections the Tories were still a long way ahead of Labour in both Harewood & Wetherby wards which I think are the only W Yorks element of the new seat aren't they. So if we count that as a W Yorks seat a Labour totality in W Yorks is basically nigh impossible surely Yes - though in the local elections Labour were significantly weaker (winning around 85,000 votes not over 105,000) and the Tories considerably stronger (winning close to 40,000 votes compared with 25,000 in the mayoral). We will never know for certain but based on local results I would guess that Wetherby was probably marginal (depends on whether that Green vote is naturally Tory or whether a fair amount of it would go Labour) while Harewood was probably still reasonably comfortably Conservative (though a narrower margin than the 33% seen in the local elections). |
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Post by andrewp on May 7, 2024 12:10:25 GMT
Wetherby and Easingwold would be the one question mark for me - though clearly this is both a West Yorkshire and a North Yorkshire seat. Even then, Labour's performance in North Yorkshire means they must have at least done reasonably well in the Easingwold half of that seat (and on those Leeds numbers even places like Wetherby must have been only modestly Conservative, if at all). Wetherby and Easingwold is the Tories 15th safest seat notionally, so if they lose there…… |
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YL
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Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
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Post by YL on May 8, 2024 21:48:08 GMT
Ward results in the council elections ( not the mayoral election; I don't think we have those).  |
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