Prediction Competition - February 2023

[yellowperil]

Congratulations to Robert Waller for the week's win as he starts the long catch up- last week's placing was a bit unnerving to us all, so glad to see normal service, etc, resumed. And congrats also due to andrewp for taking up the monthly lead with a very solid performance as the early frontrunners start to fall apart  .

[kevinf]

So…..
Barnet
Con 50, Lab 32, LD 10, Green 7.7, Rejoin 0.3
Cambs
Ind 50, Con 28, LD 12, Lab 10
Cornwall
LD 38, Con 30, Lab 21, Green 11
Sefton
Lab 80, Con 16, ND 4

[batman]

BARNET, Golders Green : C 57 Lab 29 LD 7 Green 6 Rejoin EU 1

CAMBRIDGESHIRE, St Neots The Eatons : Ind 44 C 33 Lab 15 LD 8

CORNWALL, Marazion & St Erth : LD 42 C 31 Lab 15 Green 12

SEFTON, Netherton & Orrell : Lab 82 C 15 ND 3

[Richard Cromwell]

Golders Green, Barnet

CON	54%
LAB	26%
GRN	9%
LDEM	7%
Rejoin	4%

St Neots The Eatons, Cambridgeshire

IND	46%
CON	24%
LAB	21%
LDEM	9%

Netherton and Orrell, Sefton

LAB	82%
IND	17%
CON	1%

Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth, Cornwall

LDEM	35%
CON	27%
LAB	21%
GRN	17%

[No Offence Alan]

BARNET, Golders Green : C 53 Lab 28 LD 12 Green 5 Rejoin EU 2

CAMBRIDGESHIRE, St Neots The Eatons : Ind 38 C 33 LD 17 Lab 12

CORNWALL, Marazion & St Erth : LD 39 C 32 Grn 15 Lab 14

SEFTON, Netherton & Orrell : Lab 83 C 12 ND 5

[Tony Otim]

Barnet: Con 59.9; Lab 23.5; LD 7.6; Grn 6.4; Rejoin 2.6
Cambs: Maslen 41.7; Con 35.0; LD 12.6; Lab 10.7
Cornwall: LD 35.2; Con 31.8; Lab 17.4; Grn 15.6
Sefton: Lab 78.0; Champian 16.7; Con 5.3

[andrewp]

Barnet. Con 55, Lab 29, LD 7, Green 7, Rejoin 2
Cambridgeshire, Ind 47, Con 30, Lab 16, LD 7
Cornwall. LD 38, Con 28, Lab 21, Green 13
Sefton. Lab 82, Champian 13: Con 5

[peterl]

Barnet. Con 52, Lab 30, LD 10, Green 7, Rejoin 1
Cambridgeshire, Ind 42, Con 36, Lab 12, LD 10
Cornwall. LD 40, Con 24, Lab 20, Green 16
Sefton. Lab 76, Champian 18: Con 6

[Robert Waller]

Barnet. Con 58, Lab 25, LD 8, Green 7, Rejoin 2

Cambridgeshire. Ind 45, Con 28, Lab 18, LD 9

Cornwall. LD 34, Con 33, Lab 20, Green 13

Sefton. Lab 75, Champian 20, Con 5

[yellowperil]

Barnet, Golders Green: Con 54, Lab 28, LD 10, GP 6.5. Rej 1.5.
Cambs, St Neots The Eatons: Con 29, Lab 16, LD 9, Ind 46.
Cornwall, Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth: Con 27, Lab 20, LD 39, GP 14.
Sefton, Netherton & Orrell: Con 6, Lab 84, Ind 10.

[iainbhx]

Barnet LBC, Golders Green: Con 56, Lab 27, LDm 9, Grn 6, Rej 2
Cambridgeshire CC, St Neots The Eatons: Ind 46, Con 26, Lab 18, LDm 10
Sefton MBC, Netherton & Orrell: Lab 77, Non-inscrit Champian 18, Con 5
Cornwall UA, Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth: LDm 31, Con 30.5, Lab 22.5, Grn 16

[rightleaning]

Barnet, Golders Green: Con 51, Lab 31, LD 11, Gn 5, Rej 2
Cambs, St Neots The Eatons: Ind 46, Con 31, Lab 14, LD 9
Cornwall, Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth: LD 38, Con 33, Lab 17, GP 12.
Sefton, Netherton & Orrell: Lab 80, Ind 14, Con 6,

[haroldthepolitician]

Golders Green, Barnet



CON 48%

LAB 37%

GRN 7%

LDEM 6%

Rejoin 2%





St Neots The Eatons, Cambridgeshire



IND 34%
LAB 34%

CON 24%
LDEM 9%





Netherton and Orrell, Sefton



LAB 83%

IND 11%

CON 5%





Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth, Cornwall



LDEM 43%

CON 24%

LAB 17%

GRN 16%

[Robert Waller]

Well, nor word from Robbie yet, but on my rough calculations an excellent week for No Offence Alan !

[yellowperil]

Feb 17, 2023 10:34:33 GMT Robert Waller said:

Well, nor word from Robbie yet, but on my rough calculations an excellent week for No Offence Alan !

Indeed, though maybe that was more it was an awful week for anyone not called No Offence Alan

[No Offence Alan]

I am surprised. I think I went higher than anyone else for the LDs in Cambridgeshire, but nowhere near predicting a win!

[yellowperil]

Feb 17, 2023 11:51:52 GMT No Offence Alan said:

I am surprised. I think I went higher than anyone else for the LDs in Cambridgeshire, but nowhere near predicting a win!

I think that was my point- it's not where you are relative to reality. It's where you are relative to everyone else!

[Robert Waller]

Feb 17, 2023 11:51:52 GMT No Offence Alan said:

I am surprised. I think I went higher than anyone else for the LDs in Cambridgeshire, but nowhere near predicting a win!

Well, we'll see in due course, but I think No Offence Alan won both in Cornwall and in Sefton (as well as in Cambridgeshire) - and with good, low, scores too in those two.

[robbienicoll]

13 entries this week, losing manchesterman but with a maiden appearance from haroldthepolitician - albeit posting well over the deadline which incurs 70x4 faults but this has been halved due to being a first time offence. Additionally, Harold picks up 2 faults for going over in Cambridgeshire and under in Sefton. Otherwise, all on time and correct.

Golders Green, Barnet: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 11% (haroldthepolitician) to 36.4% (Tony Otim).

St Neots The Eatons, Cambridgeshire: 100% Independent (Maslen) gain from St Neots Independent Group, with majorities ranging from 0% (haroldthepolitician) to 27% (johnloony).

Long Rock, Marazion and St Erth, Cornwall: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 0.5% (iainbhx) to 19% (haroldthepolitician).

Netherton and Orrell, Sefton: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 56% (johnloony) to 74% (yellowperil).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16Smb1KqoUN2XCoqDH7ivZWA1f-GSTusOrQgq1tRo7xw/edit?usp=sharing - congratulations to the week's winner No Offence Alan and to everyone for quite a strong set of results (Cambridgeshire notwithstanding!).

[haroldthepolitician]

didnt see that