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Post by andrewp on Feb 10, 2022 11:58:55 GMT
Today will be the 7th, and probably final, by election in the 4 year life span of Somerset West and Taunton council. There’s a good chance that the Lib Dems will win and so make it 7 out of 7 wins for them. I must say that I think they have had a bit of fortune along the way. They are apparently a badly divided group, and the Group leader has held of a challenge for the group leadership by 1 vote on two separate occasions. The LD group is very able, and the opposition from her own group, is apparently much more hostile than the opposition from the other groups on the council.
There were 2 by elections pre Covid
Vivary: was a LD gain from Con, after the LDs had undernominated in the ward in 2019, so a second chance to win a seat that they would have won in the main 2019 election Norton Fitzwarren and Staplegrove was a LD gain from Ind. Again the LDs had undernominated in a 3 member ward. The LDs had come 1st and 2nd, and the Ind 3rd. Another seat they would have won in 2019 with an extra candidate
And then 5 post Covid
North Curry and Ruishton was a LD hold. Previous councillor resigned because he was disenchanted with the LD group. Big swing to the Conservatives in the by election Old Cleeve was a LD hold by 6 votes, with an ex Tory councillor standing and splitting the Tory vote Trull, Pitminster and Corfe was a LD hold with a swing to the Tories, The LDs had a very good candidate there and the Tory candidate wasn’t local Wilton and Sherford was a LD hold with a swing to the Tories. And Alcombe today, which was a ward they lost by 30 votes in 2019
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Post by WestCountryRadical on Feb 10, 2022 12:17:34 GMT
The LD candidate in this by-election, Nicole Hawkins, won a by-election in the old Alcombe ward of West Somerset council, which had almost identical boundaries, in June 2018, when the LDs were having a run of by-election successes just before the old district council was abolished
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,206
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 10, 2022 12:51:01 GMT
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Feb 10, 2022 22:36:29 GMT
Apropos the Alcombe byelection - 60% turnout in our household.
Daughter voted for the first time having been reading about Pankhurst - not sure who for, but she said not Conservative My son refused to use his postal vote from university, making some rather unparliamentary remarks about Starmer (he is a Labour Party member).
We received leaflets from the Tories and Liberals last weekend and there was certainly some activity into the evening getting the vote out.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 10, 2022 22:57:54 GMT
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Post by olympian95 on Feb 11, 2022 0:06:20 GMT
LD hold in Eastleigh central
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 11, 2022 0:06:51 GMT
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,540
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Post by iang on Feb 11, 2022 0:11:33 GMT
Beat Meat Loaf by one then
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Feb 11, 2022 0:11:54 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 11, 2022 0:20:06 GMT
*stop the steal*
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Post by tucson on Feb 11, 2022 0:29:06 GMT
Eastleigh: Eastleigh Central - Liberal Democrat hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | Liberal Democrat | 781 | 43.9% | +6.9% | -5.0% | +3.5% | +3.5% | Labour | 433 | 24.3% | -4.5% | +6.7% | +1.8% | +2.4% | Conservative | 362 | 20.3% | -4.8% | +8.6% | +4.1% | +5.1% | Green | 140 | 7.9% | from nowhere | +0.2% | -2.4% | -3.2% | Reform | 64 | 3.6% | +0.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Hampshire Independents |
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| -5.7% |
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| UKIP |
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| -14.0% | -10.6% | -11.5% | Total votes | 1,780 |
| 70% | 78% | 62% | 67% |
Swing: Labour to Liberal Democrat 5¾% since May and ¾% / ½% since 2018 but Liberal Democrat to Labour 5¾% since 2019 Council now: 32 Liberal Democrat, 5 Independent, 2 Conservative Somerset West & Taunton: Alcombe - Liberal Democrat gain from IndependentParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | Liberal Democrat | 259 | 49.2% | +16.7% | Conservative | 223 | 44.3% | +25.3% | Labour | 21 | 4.0% | -6.9% | Independent Lillis | 13 | 2.5% | from nowhere | Independent Bolton |
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| -37.6% | Total votes | 526 |
| 84% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 32 Liberal Democrat, 12 Independent, 10 Conservative, 3 Labour, 2 Green Wealden: Hailsham South - Liberal Democrat gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 B | since 2019 | Liberal Democrat | Row 2 column 2 | 59.7% | +23.2% | +30.9% | Conservative | Row 3 column 2 | 38.5% | -6.7% | -8.1% | SDP | Row 4 column 2 | 1.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent Keeley |
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| -9.9% |
| Green |
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| -8.5% |
| Labour |
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| -24.7% | Total votes | Row 8 column 2 |
| Row 8 column 4 | Row 8 column 5 |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 15% since May and 19½% since 2019 Council now: 29 Conservative, 6 Liberal Democrat, 4 Independent Democrat, 3 Green, 3 Independent Group 802 was the LibDem tally in Eastleigh altering those percentages a little
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 11, 2022 0:35:54 GMT
Eastleigh: Eastleigh Central - Liberal Democrat hold amended for Liberal Democrat vote of 802 not 781 as originally reported Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | Liberal Democrat | 802 | 44.5% | +7.6% | -4.4% | +4.2% | +4.2% | Labour | 433 | 24.0% | -4.7% | +6.4% | +1.5% | +2.2% | Conservative | 362 | 20.1% | -5.0% | +8.3% | +3.8% | +4.8% | Green | 140 | 7.8% | from nowhere | +0.1% | -2.5% | -3.3% | Reform | 64 | 3.6% | +0.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Hampshire Independents |
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| -5.7% |
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| UKIP |
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| -14.0% | -10.6% | -11.5% | Total votes | 1,801 |
| 71% | 79% | 62% | 67% |
Swing: Labour to Liberal Democrat 6¼% since May and 1¼% / 1% since 2018 but Liberal Democrat to Labour 5½% since 2019 Council now: 32 Liberal Democrat, 5 Independent, 2 Conservative Somerset West & Taunton: Alcombe - Liberal Democrat gain from IndependentParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | Liberal Democrat | 259 | 49.2% | +16.7% | Conservative | 223 | 44.3% | +25.3% | Labour | 21 | 4.0% | -6.9% | Independent Lillis | 13 | 2.5% | from nowhere | Independent Bolton |
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| -37.6% | Total votes | 526 |
| 84% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 32 Liberal Democrat, 12 Independent, 10 Conservative, 3 Labour, 2 Green Wealden: Hailsham South - Liberal Democrat gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 B | since 2019 | Liberal Democrat | 394 | 59.7% | +23.2% | +30.9% | Conservative | 254 | 38.5% | -6.7% | -8.1% | SDP | 12 | 1.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent Keeley |
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| -9.9% |
| Green |
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| -8.5% |
| Labour |
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| -24.7% | Total votes | 660 |
| 73% | 96% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 15% since May and 19½% since 2019 Council now: 29 Conservative, 6 Liberal Democrat, 4 Independent Democrat, 3 Green, 3 Independent Group
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,206
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 11, 2022 7:46:14 GMT
So, how does the GWBWI look this week?
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Post by nw12398 on Feb 11, 2022 8:04:35 GMT
I suppose the fact that the entire Eastleigh Lib Dem machine could focus on the one ward helped them to pull further ahead of Labour.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 11, 2022 8:15:13 GMT
So, how does the GWBWI look this week? Daniel Radcliffe 14Tom Daley 30Prince Louis of Luxembourg 72
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,206
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 11, 2022 9:35:43 GMT
The resigning councillor in Eastleigh has made a stinging denunciation of the Liberal Democrats and endorsed the Labour candidate, which might shake things up. Labour last won a seat on the council in 2007. If it made any difference, it wasn't in the way intended by this intervention.
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Post by johnloony on Feb 11, 2022 9:46:07 GMT
So, how does the GWBWI look this week? Daniel Radcliffe 14Tom Daley 30Prince Louis of Luxembourg 72What do those numbers refer to?
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 11, 2022 9:55:21 GMT
Daniel Radcliffe 14Tom Daley 30Prince Louis of Luxembourg 72What do those numbers refer to? A pretty feeble attempt at sarcasm would be a guess.
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Post by listener on Feb 11, 2022 10:04:22 GMT
Bolsover - Clowne West parish by-election - Con 104, Lab 96. Labour has not quite "broken through" in this red wall seat.
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Post by phil156 on Feb 11, 2022 10:33:38 GMT
Dont think the WEALDEN figures so here they are LD 304 Con 254 SDP 12
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