|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 21, 2019 23:33:45 GMT
RUGBY Rokeby and Overslade: L Dem 52, C 20, Lab 15, BxP 9, GP 4
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Aug 21, 2019 23:47:09 GMT
Rugby: LD 58 Con 16 Lab 13 Brx 8 Grn 5
|
|
|
Post by Right Leaning on Aug 22, 2019 6:33:11 GMT
Rugby, Rokeby and Overslade LD 58, C 21, Lab 12, Brexit 5, Gn 4
|
|
|
Post by olympian95 on Aug 22, 2019 7:15:50 GMT
Rugby: LD 61, Lab 14, Con 13, Brexit 7, Green 5
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Aug 22, 2019 13:34:01 GMT
Rugby: LD 55, Lab 20, Con 10, Brexit 5, Green 10
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Aug 22, 2019 17:14:12 GMT
13 entries for this week's solo by-election, losing mikefromsales after a brave attempt last week which could've easily paid dividends on a different night. Priceofdawn gets 55 faults for posting late, otherwise all present and correct. Rokeby and Overslade, Rugby: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 32% (David Boothroyd) to 49.6% (Tony Otim). Results available at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xL5eIhyRGeaugNoWcVPFGTQsEHTWoNYgSSTgPNcjxrE/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!
|
|
andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,853
Member is Online
|
Post by andrewp on Aug 22, 2019 17:51:11 GMT
13 entries for this week's solo by-election, losing mikefromsales after a brave attempt last week which could've easily paid dividends on a different night. Priceofdawn gets 55 faults for posting late, otherwise all present and correct. Rokeby and Overslade, Rugby: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 32% (David Boothroyd) to 49.6% (Tony Otim). Results available at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xL5eIhyRGeaugNoWcVPFGTQsEHTWoNYgSSTgPNcjxrE/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! Interesting that We’ve all gone for a Big Lib Dem win. Andrew’s preview did make a hint that he thought it might not be as much of a foregone conclusion as that.
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Aug 22, 2019 17:56:37 GMT
13 entries for this week's solo by-election, losing mikefromsales after a brave attempt last week which could've easily paid dividends on a different night. Priceofdawn gets 55 faults for posting late, otherwise all present and correct. Rokeby and Overslade, Rugby: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 32% (David Boothroyd) to 49.6% (Tony Otim). Results available at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xL5eIhyRGeaugNoWcVPFGTQsEHTWoNYgSSTgPNcjxrE/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! Interesting that We’ve all gone for a Big Lib Dem win. Andrew’s preview did make a hint that he thought it might not be as much of a foregone conclusion as that. It's a good hint, people don't like a by-election that quick, but I also had a peer at the SOPN.
|
|
andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,853
Member is Online
|
Post by andrewp on Aug 22, 2019 18:00:44 GMT
Interesting that We’ve all gone for a Big Lib Dem win. Andrew’s preview did make a hint that he thought it might not be as much of a foregone conclusion as that. It's a good hint, people don't like a by-election that quick, but I also had a peer at the SOPN. Yes, there are a couple of reasons to suspect that some other parties might not do so well.
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Aug 22, 2019 23:27:53 GMT
Just to say, at the moment Robbie's spreadsheet doesn't seem to have added Brexit party prediction faults to our individual fault totals ... though as I am not a spreadsheet expert someone else should check and confirm/correct my suggestion.
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Aug 23, 2019 0:41:34 GMT
To make my prediction I just averaged the 9 entries before me and rounded them to the nearest whole numbers. I thus got in joint 2nd place.
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Aug 23, 2019 6:14:15 GMT
Congratulations to Right Leaning for winning the week and thereby moving up to 2nd for the month, and to olympian95 for retaining the lead even after coming 12th/13 this week- shows how tightly we are bunched so remains all to play for in the final week of August. Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith still very much in the mix for the final week! Thanks once again for a job well done by robbienicoll ! We will all be very dependent on his services when we go north of the border next week. edit- I wrote this before reading the two comments above. I wouldn't claim to be a spreadsheet expert but I can add up and Robert Waller is of course right- the BxP faults don't seem to have been picked up- which is a pain as I was further out than most on BxP. It's great having the spreadsheet to look at but I find I'm more inclined to believe it without checking, so good for Robert for doing the sums independently. On johnloony revealing he has been a wee bit naughty, I would say that can work reasonably well when we are all so tightly bunched anyway but might come badly unstuck in a more spread out field.
|
|
|
Post by No Offence Alan on Aug 23, 2019 6:44:15 GMT
To make my prediction I just averaged the 9 entries before me and rounded them to the nearest whole numbers. I thus got in joint 2nd place. A.k.a. The Wisdom of Crowds. Doesn't work for the lottery numbers though.
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Aug 23, 2019 7:41:57 GMT
Just to say, at the moment Robbie's spreadsheet doesn't seem to have added Brexit party prediction faults to our individual fault totals ... though as I am not a spreadsheet expert someone else should check and confirm/correct my suggestion. Yes my error there when copying over from last week when there was no Brexit Party candidate. Shuffles the weekly rankings a bit but Right Leaning still wins the week. Olympian95 remains in the lead for the month with alien8ted in second and Right Leaning moving up to third.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,531
|
Post by The Bishop on Aug 23, 2019 9:57:49 GMT
It's a good hint, people don't like a by-election that quick, but I also had a peer at the SOPN. Yes, there are a couple of reasons to suspect that some other parties might not do so well. Did these suspicions fit with the actual result?
|
|
andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,853
Member is Online
|
Post by andrewp on Aug 23, 2019 11:13:25 GMT
Yes, there are a couple of reasons to suspect that some other parties might not do so well. Did these suspicions fit with the actual result? One of mine did, one didn’t!
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Aug 23, 2019 11:46:04 GMT
On johnloony revealing he has been a wee bit naughty, I would say that can work reasonably well when we are all so tightly bunched anyway but might come badly unstuck in a more spread out field. I wasn't being naughty, I was being lazy. There aren't any rules about what sort of research or guesswork or methodology we are supposed to use to make our predikshuns. The previous time that I used the same method resulted in me being way out.
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Aug 23, 2019 16:03:10 GMT
On johnloony revealing he has been a wee bit naughty, I would say that can work reasonably well when we are all so tightly bunched anyway but might come badly unstuck in a more spread out field. I wasn't being naughty, I was being lazy. There aren't any rules about what sort of research or guesswork or methodology we are supposed to use to make our predikshuns. The previous time that I used the same method resulted in me being way out. I think it's an interesting experiment to see how the average of our predictions does.
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Aug 27, 2019 21:50:08 GMT
Bury RF 33 Lab 27 Con 18 LD 17 UKIP 5
South Lanark SNP 40 Lab 30 Con 17 LD 6 Grn 4 UKIP 2 Libn 1
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Aug 27, 2019 23:37:10 GMT
Should have said in the opening spiel that the winner after transfers in South Lanarkshire should be stated. If there is none then the party in front will be assumed as the predicted winner overall.
|
|