clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Nov 15, 2018 9:55:09 GMT
Regional/national breakdown of that poll (by Remain vote): Scotland - 66.19% (+4.19 on referendum) London - 61.99% (+2.06) Northern Ireland - 61.17% (+5.39) Wales - 52.42% (+4.95) North West - 51.88% (+5.53) South East - 51.16% (+2.94) North East - 50.33% (+8.37) West Midlands - 50.19% (+9.45) South West - 48.86% (+1.49) Yorkshire - 48.48% (+6.19) East Midlands - 48.33% (+7.15) Eastern England - 45.70% (+2.18)
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Survation
Nov 15, 2018 13:32:48 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2018 13:32:48 GMT
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Nov 15, 2018 13:46:15 GMT
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Survation
Nov 15, 2018 13:50:56 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2018 13:50:56 GMT
no assembly must be hurting now
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 15, 2018 23:23:01 GMT
Not buying this one. Shows Labour ahead of the Tories in England, but dropping back in Wales and, significantly so, in Scotland?!
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Survation
Nov 16, 2018 0:07:28 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Nov 16, 2018 0:07:28 GMT
Not buying this one. Shows Labour ahead of the Tories in England, but dropping back in Wales and, significantly so, in Scotland?! tbf most Scottish and Welsh polls have Labour dropping back. Most Welsh polls have had Labour dropping further than this. If Labour are down in Scotland and Wales like most polls suggest then they must be picking up elsewhere
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 16, 2018 1:19:32 GMT
Not buying this one. Shows Labour ahead of the Tories in England, but dropping back in Wales and, significantly so, in Scotland?! Not impossible that recent affairs would provoke consolidation around the SNP rather than a shift to Labour.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,607
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 16, 2018 11:38:00 GMT
Not buying this one. Shows Labour ahead of the Tories in England, but dropping back in Wales and, significantly so, in Scotland?! YouGov's recent Wales poll (and they are the only pollster who appears to do them even semi-regularly) had Labour lower than that.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Survation
Nov 18, 2018 22:07:17 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Nov 18, 2018 22:07:17 GMT
Not buying this one. Shows Labour ahead of the Tories in England, but dropping back in Wales and, significantly so, in Scotland?! If youre struggling with that in London theres a 3% swing to the Tories. So there's a 2.5% swing to Labour in England despite a 3% to the Tories in London
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,607
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 19, 2018 10:57:12 GMT
Not buying this one. Shows Labour ahead of the Tories in England, but dropping back in Wales and, significantly so, in Scotland?! If youre struggling with that in London theres a 3% swing to the Tories. So there's a 2.5% swing to Labour in England despite a 3% to the Tories in London Despite the increased size of this poll, when it comes to subdividing England we are still talking subsamples. And they are as reliable (or, rather, not) as ever.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 27, 2018 23:09:20 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 27, 2018 23:11:07 GMT
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Nov 27, 2018 23:50:36 GMT
From what you have seen or heard so far, do you support or oppose the UK Government’s draft agreement?
Support - 27% Oppose - 49% The government’s Brexit agreement or leaving the EU without a deal?Government deal - 32% Without a deal - 34% The government’s Brexit agreement or remaining in the EU?Government deal - 34% Remaining in the EU - 43% Three optionRemain in the EU - 44% Without a deal - 28% Government deal - 16% The Government deal is dead in the water among the public, as it is with MPs. Should May resign?Resign - 50% Not resign - 33% Who would you prefer as PM (Potential candidate vs May)?Boris Johnson - 34% vs 46% Jacob Rees Mogg - 31% vs 43% David Davis - 34% vs 38% Sajid Javid - 28% vs 43% Jeremy Hunt - 26% vs 44% Penny Mordaunt - 22% vs 39% Most people want May out, but think that all (likely) alternatives would be worse.
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seanf
Non-Aligned
Posts: 629
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Post by seanf on Nov 28, 2018 8:24:51 GMT
That's Survation's previous poll on the deal. Their latest has 37% in favour, 35% against.
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cefin
Non-Aligned
Posts: 906
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Post by cefin on Nov 28, 2018 9:58:24 GMT
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 28, 2018 10:25:42 GMT
So people support the deal and want MPs to support it. Want Theresa May to resign. But aren't keen on any of her replacements. A referendum where theyd prefer no deal or remain over this deal. Have covered it. Is anyone clearer?
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Post by pragmaticidealist on Nov 28, 2018 11:20:20 GMT
Of course her constituency probably isn't keen on fox hunting either.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,607
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 28, 2018 11:38:09 GMT
So is there a link to the new Survation figures (whatever they might actually be)
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 28, 2018 12:07:26 GMT
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Post by pepperminttea on Nov 30, 2018 15:51:50 GMT
According to this model only the three constituencies with estimated 50%+ approval ratings for May's deal are: 1)Solihull - 51.8% 2)Oxford West and Abingdon - 50.4% 3)Harrow East - 50.1% A rather strange collection for the top 3... Solihull I could probably believe not so sure about the other two though. Regardless of the individual numbers I do think the general pattern of support for May's deal is correct i.e. higher in more economically right wing and/or 'traditionally Tory' areas (regardless of how remain/leave they were in the referendum) and lower in poorer areas and/or areas that have a left wing culture. Assuming May isn't replaced by a Brexit-ultra (Rees-Mogg, Johnson etc.) before the next election the I think the Tories will be hard pressed to hold onto the likes of Mansfield and Stoke South though on the other hand they may hold up a lot better it the wealthier remain areas that they did atrociously in last time.
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