Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,285
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Post by Tony Otim on May 28, 2019 12:01:27 GMT
HEREFORDSHIRE UA, Ross North (Con defence, UKIP candidate died)
Candidates:
BARTRUM, Chris (Liberal Democrat)
GIBBS, Nigel Thomas (Conservative)
HODGES, Melvin Brian (Labour)
2015: Con 833, LD 744
Chris Bartrum (LD) was councillor for Ross-on-Wye West from 2007-2015. Nigel Gibbs (Con) was unsuccessful candidate in the same ward in 2007 and 2011. Bartrum lost the new Ross West seat to the Conservatives in 2015
Current Council: Herefordshire Independents 15; Con 13; IOCH 7; Grn 7; LD 6; Ind 3; Vacant 2
SOUTH STAFFORDSHIRE DC, Wombourne South West (2x Con defence, 1 incumbent Con died)
Candidates:
DAVIES, Mike (Conservative)
FREEMAN, Adam Ashley (Labour)
MCILVENNA, Claire (Green)
MERRICK, Vince (Conservative)
STONES, Pete (Liberal Democrat)
VAUGHAN, Michael Thomas Martin (Labour)
2015: 2xCon Unopp.
2011: 2x Con Unopp.
2007: Con 633, 604; LD 274, 175
2003: Freedom 641; Con 483, 457
Mike Davies is incumbent councillor since 2011 and county councillor for Wombourne division.
Current Council: Con 35; Ind 7; Grn 3; Lab 1; UKIP 1; Vacant 2
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Post by carlton43 on May 28, 2019 12:12:17 GMT
HEREFORDSHIRE UA, Ross North (Con defence, UKIP candidate died) Candidates: BARTRUM, Chris (Liberal Democrat) GIBBS, Nigel Thomas (Conservative) HODGES, Melvin Brian (Labour) 2015: Con 833, LD 744 Chris Bartrum (LD) was councillor for Ross-on-Wye West from 2007-2015. Nigel Gibbs (Con) was unsuccessful candidate in the same ward in 2007 and 2011. Bartrum lost the new Ross West seat to the Conservatives in 2015 Current Council: Herefordshire Independents 15; Con 13; IOCH 7; Grn 7; LD 6; Ind 3; Vacant 2 SOUTH STAFFORDSHIRE DC, Wombourne South West (2x Con defence, 1 incumbent Con died) Candidates: DAVIES, Mike (Conservative) FREEMAN, Adam Ashley (Labour) MCILVENNA, Claire (Green) MERRICK, Vince (Conservative) STONES, Pete (Liberal Democrat) VAUGHAN, Michael Thomas Martin (Labour) 2015: 2xCon Unopp. 2011: 2x Con Unopp. 2007: Con 633, 604; LD 274, 175 2003: Freedom 641; Con 483, 457 Mike Davies is incumbent councillor since 2011 and county councillor for Wombourne division. Current Council: Con 35; Ind 7; Grn 3; Lab 1; UKIP 1; Vacant 2 This is a significant test for the Conservatives after the very poor Locals and the total disaster of the Euros. The departure of May and more talk of a harder firmer Brexit will have helped. Is it enough? Is this too soon? I hope that the enormity of our reverses will bring loyalists back to the fold in solidarity for the party as a party. We shall see. Thank goodness the BP are not standing. |
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peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,047 
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Post by peterl on May 28, 2019 12:46:31 GMT
I would certainly expect a Lib Dem gain in Herefordshire in the current climate.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 5, 2019 23:12:02 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 10,707
Member is Online
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Post by iain on Jun 6, 2019 22:27:57 GMT
Herefordshire:
Lib Dem - 75.1% (+28.0%)
Conservative - 18.7% (-34.1%)
Labour - 6.2% (n/a)
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 6, 2019 22:31:13 GMT
Numbers from twitter.
HEREFORDSHIRE Ross North
BARTRUM, Chris (Liberal Democrat) 547
GIBBS, Nigel Thomas (Conservative) 136
HODGES, Melvin Brian (Labour) 45
I had the biggest Lib Dem win in the prediction competition but even I underestimated that one.
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Post by curiousliberal on Jun 6, 2019 22:38:45 GMT
More like Winning Herefordshire.
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Post by yellowperil on Jun 6, 2019 23:31:22 GMT
Any news at all from South Staffs? Are they counting tonight? This after all is the by-election result we are all awaiting eagerly, isn't it?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 7, 2019 0:17:51 GMT
Apparently the Green Party won the Wombourne parish council seat. No tweets about the district election.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 7, 2019 0:27:50 GMT
A local Green Party activist advises me that Wombourne South West was two Conservative holds with the Green Party candidate as runner-up.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,285
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 7, 2019 8:14:41 GMT
Apparently the Green Party won the Wombourne parish council seat. No tweets about the district election. I think this would be a split result as there were 4 seats and only 1 or 2 Green candidates. I know this because in preparing this thread I spent several minutes looking at the SOPN wondering why the Tories had 4 candidates for 2 seats before realising that I was looking at the parish rather than district SOPN. |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,167
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 7, 2019 8:38:57 GMT
It would be nice if South Staffs council could find the time to post the result on their website. Today would be nice.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 7, 2019 9:19:44 GMT
It would be nice if South Staffs council could find the time to post the result on their website. Today would be nice. They've put up a link which goes to a 404 page. Grr. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 7, 2019 9:22:42 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 7, 2019 9:24:06 GMT
SOUTH STAFFORDSHIRE Wombourne South West
DAVIES, Mike (Conservative) 359
MERRICK, Vince (Conservative) 325
McILVENNA, Claire (Green) 90
STONES, Pete (Liberal Democrat) 79
FREEMAN, Adam Ashley (Labour) 47
VAUGHAN, Michael Thomas Martin (Labour) 43
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 7, 2019 9:30:18 GMT
Wombourne South West on averages:
C 61.5
GP 16.2
L Dem 14.2
Lab 8.1
On total vote:
C 72.5
GP 9.5
Lab 9.5
L Dem 8.4
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Post by yellowperil on Jun 7, 2019 10:16:44 GMT
Apparently the Green Party won the Wombourne parish council seat. No tweets about the district election. I think this would be a split result as there were 4 seats and only 1 or 2 Green candidates. I know this because in preparing this thread I spent several minutes looking at the SOPN wondering why the Tories had 4 candidates for 2 seats before realising that I was looking at the parish rather than district SOPN. And had I realised the Greens were also contesting simultaneous parish elections it might have led to a tweak in my predictions, but I missed that  |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 7, 2019 20:47:26 GMT
Herefordshire, Ross North - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2019 votes | 2019 share | since 2015 | Liberal Democrat | 547 | 75.1% | +28.0% | Conservative | 136 | 18.7% | -34.1% | Labour | 45 | 6.2% | from nowhere | Total votes | 728 |
| 46% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 31% since 2015 Council now 15 Herefordshire Independent, 13 Conservative, 7 Liberal Democrat, 7 Green, 7 Its Our County, 3 Independent, 1 Vacant South Staffordshire, Wombourne South West - Conservative hold | Party | 2019 votes
top | 2019 votes
second | 2019 votes
average | 2019 share | 2015 result | 2011 result | | Conservative | 359 | 325 | 342 | 61.5% | 2 unopposed | 2 unopposed | Green | 90 |
| 90 | 16.2% |
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| Liberal Democrat | 79 |
| 79 | 14.2% |
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| Labour | 47 | 43 | 45 | 8.1% |
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| Total votes | 575 | 368 | 556 |
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Swing not applicable Council now 37 Conservative, 7 Independent, 3 Green, 1 Labour, 1 UKIP
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