Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,279
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Post by Tony Otim on May 2, 2019 20:45:22 GMT
EAST LOTHIAN UA; Haddington & Lammermuir (Con resigned)
Candidates:
BLACK, Neal (Labour)
CRAWFORD, Stuart (Liberal Democrat)
GLASS, Lorraine (SNP)
HOY, Craig (Conservative)
SISSON, David (UKIP)
2017: Con 2262; Lab 1458, 1169; SNP 1142, 889; LD 568; Grn 302
The ward was expanded in 2017 to take in villages of Pencaitland and Ormiston and surrounding settlements. The previous 3 seat ward had been Lab-SNP-Con in 2012 and Con-SNP-LD in 2007.
Council currently: Lab 9; Con 6 + 1 vacancy; SNP 6
HAVERING LBC; Cranham (Upminster & cranham resident died)
Candidates:
BUCKLAND, Ben Albert John (UKIP)
CATON, Peter (Green)
CLARKE, Thomas Patrick (Liberal Democrat)
CURTIS, Adam Ed (Labour)
SEWELL, Ben Christopher (Conservative)
VAN DEN HENDE, Linda Joy (Upminster and Cranham Residents Association)
2018: UCRA 2932, 2817, 2502; Con 974, 769, 593; Lab 475, 415, 287; Grn 325; UKIP 274
2014: UCRA 3243, 3159, 3090; UKIP 1014; Con 857; Lab 362, 353, 338; Grn 343
2010: UCRA 4160, 4120, 3923; Con 2202, 2085, 1993; Lab 635, 625, 445; UKIP 482; Grn 412; Ind 94
2006: UCRA 3109, 3023, 3014; Con 1012, 913, 838; Lab 378, 375, 356; Grn 269; Third Way 99, 86, 75
2002: UCRA 4060, 4042, 4004; Con 1048, 900, 883; Lab 616, 615, 590; Grn 306
The Green has stood here in the last 3 elections.
Council currently: Con 25; Residents Group 8; Ind Residents Group 6; UCRA 5 + 1 vacancy; Lab 5; N. Havering Residents 3; Ind 1
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on May 9, 2019 19:44:03 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 9, 2019 22:35:16 GMT
Cranham turnout 35.66%.
Incidentally East Lothian is counting tomorrow morning.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 9, 2019 23:19:08 GMT
HAVERING Cranham
VAN DEN HENDE, Linda Joy (Upminster and Cranham Residents Association) 2,421
CATON, Peter (Green) 312
SEWELL, Ben Christopher (Conservative) 257
CURTIS, Adam Ed (Labour) 219
BUCKLAND, Ben Albert John (UKIP) 208
CLARKE, Thomas Patrick (Liberal Democrat) 120
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Post by Robert Waller on May 9, 2019 23:33:51 GMT
Cranham result:
RA: 68.4% (+9.6)
GRN: 8.8% (+2.3)
CON: 7.3% (-12.3)
LAB: 6.2% (-3.3)
UKIP: 5.9% (+0.4)
LDEM: 3.4% (+3.4)
Residents Association HOLD.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 10, 2019 9:16:40 GMT
Turnout in Haddington and Lammermuir is 44.2%.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,163
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Post by Chris from Brum on May 10, 2019 9:53:52 GMT
Turnout in Haddington and Lammermuir is 44.2%. ELC tweeting Tory hold. No figures yet. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 10, 2019 10:05:48 GMT
EAST LOTHIAN Haddington and Lammermuir
HOY, Craig (Conservative) 2,212 (35.0%)
GLASS, Lorraine (SNP) 1,866 (29.5%)
BLACK, Neal (Labour) 1,359 (21.5%)
CRAWFORD, Stuart (Liberal Democrat) 774 (12.2%)
SISSON, David (UKIP) 108 (1.7%)
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,279
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Post by Tony Otim on May 10, 2019 10:11:14 GMT
EAST LOTHIAN Haddington and Lammermuir HOY, Craig (Conservative) 2,212 (35.0%) GLASS, Lorraine (SNP) 1,866 (29.5%) BLACK, Neal (Labour) 1,359 (21.5%) CRAWFORD, Stuart (Liberal Democrat) 774 (12.2%) SISSON, David (UKIP) 108 (1.7%) That's a poor Labour showing there... |
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Post by justin124 on May 10, 2019 10:18:18 GMT
EAST LOTHIAN Haddington and Lammermuir HOY, Craig (Conservative) 2,212 (35.0%) GLASS, Lorraine (SNP) 1,866 (29.5%) BLACK, Neal (Labour) 1,359 (21.5%) CRAWFORD, Stuart (Liberal Democrat) 774 (12.2%) SISSON, David (UKIP) 108 (1.7%) That's a poor Labour showing there... Yes - Any obvious explanation for the strong Tory result here? |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,163
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Post by Chris from Brum on May 10, 2019 10:49:22 GMT
Based on total 1st prefs in 2017, I make that Con +6%, Lab -12.2%, SNP +3.5%, LD +5%, UKIP +1.7% and the absent Green -3.9%.
I can't find any info on how many stages it took to get the result, does anybody know?
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Post by middleenglander on May 10, 2019 11:09:52 GMT
East Lothian, Haddington & Lammermuir - Conservative hold based on first preference votes | Party | 2019 votes | 2019 share | since 2019 | | Conservative | 2,212 | 35.0% | +6.0% | SNP | 1,866 | 29.5% | +3.5% | Labour | 1,359 | 21.5% | -12.2% | Liberal Democrat | 774 | 12.2% | +5.0% | UKIP | 108 | 1.7% | from nowhere | Green |
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| -3.9% | Total votes | 6,319 |
| 81% |
Swing Labour to Conservative ~ 9% since 2017 with SNP to Conservative 1¼% also since 2017 Council now 9 Labour, 7 Conservative, 6 SNP Havering, Cranham - Upminster & Cranham Residents Association hold | Party | 2019 votes | 2019 share | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | | Residents Association | 2,421 | 68.4% | +9.6% | +7.6% | +12.7% | +13.2% | Green | 312 | 8.8% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +2.9% | +2.8% | Conservative | 257 | 7.3% | -12.3% | -10.0% | -7.5% | -7.7% | Labour | 219 | 6.2% | -3.3% | -2.5% | +0.0% | +0.1% | UKIP | 208 | 5.9% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -11.5% | -11.8% | Liberal Democrats | 120 | 3.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Total votes | 3,537 |
| 71% | 78% | 61% | 62% |
Swing Conservative to Resident Association ~ 11% / 9% since 2018 and 10% / 10½% since 2014 Council now 25 Conservative, 23 various Resident Associations, 5 Labour , 1 Independent
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,525
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Post by The Bishop on May 10, 2019 11:10:12 GMT
I was expecting a bit better from Labour there after last week's Dundee result. And the Tories must be delighted there is somewhere they can still poll well  |
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Post by justin124 on May 10, 2019 11:19:27 GMT
I was expecting a bit better from Labour there after last week's Dundee result. And the Tories must be delighted there is somewhere they can still poll well In Westminster Voting Intention polls Labour's vote appears to be holding up much better and little changed from 2017 GE. I am puzzled as to why the party is now performing so poorly at Local Elections - even relative to May 2017. I would have thought that the Independence issue was less dominant than 2 - 3 years ago. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,279
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Post by Tony Otim on May 10, 2019 11:23:05 GMT
I was expecting a bit better from Labour there after last week's Dundee result. And the Tories must be delighted there is somewhere they can still poll well In Westminster Voting Intention polls Labour's vote appears to be holding up much better and little changed from 2017 GE. I am puzzled as to why the party is now performing so poorly at Local Elections - even relative to May 2017. I would have thought that the Independence issue was less dominant than 2 - 3 years ago. It's risen again a bit more recently due to the SNP setting a desired timescale for a second referendum. This may have shored up the Tory vote here a bit... |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 10, 2019 11:24:20 GMT
Transfers in Haddington and Lammermuir
Quota 3,160
I II III IV V
Neal BLACK Lab 1,359 + 11 1,370 + 219 1,589 -1,589 - -
Stuart CRAWFORD L Dem 774 + 8 782 - 782 - - -
Lorraine GLASS SNP 1,866 + 8 1,874 + 170 2,044 + 425 2,469 -2,469 -
Craig HOY C 2,212 + 37 2,249 + 179 2,428 + 331 2,759 + 518 3,277
David SISSON UKIP 108 - 108 - - - -
Not transferrable + 44 44 + 214 258 + 833 1,091 +1,951 3,042
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Post by curiousliberal on May 11, 2019 12:22:45 GMT
For those interested in seeing where the switchers are/might be:  |
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Post by edinburghtory on May 11, 2019 17:06:31 GMT
Good result for the Tories in Haddington.
But I think the real winner was East Lothian Council for quickly putting up all the election result data.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 12, 2019 14:09:35 GMT
I was expecting a bit better from Labour there after last week's Dundee result. And the Tories must be delighted there is somewhere they can still poll well They got nearly 30% in East Lothian in 2017. |
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