Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Oct 31, 2019 13:47:14 GMT
Note that the poll was conducted before the election was called so of limited use. Still, it gives us a more recent baseless to measure their figures against.
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Post by curiousliberal on Oct 31, 2019 14:50:24 GMT
The figures aren't quite baseless, but sampling dates before Nov 1 are of limited worth IMO. That hypothetical 'post-extension' polls projected lower shares does not mean these would actually materialise, but the discrepancy between the hypothetical and the topline indicates there will be a change in the political fundamentals and if we know that ahead of time without actually knowing how they'll change, how much use can polling on soon-to-be-outdated fundamentals be?
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WJ
Non-Aligned
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Post by WJ on Oct 31, 2019 15:32:25 GMT
Useless exercise, I know, but plugging those numbers into Electoral Calculus makes for some fun reading.
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 31, 2019 15:34:57 GMT
Useless exercise, I know, but plugging those numbers into Electoral Calculus makes for some fun reading. I think this is the first sighting in this election campaign of the phrase "Electoral Calculus".
Tin hats on everybody - Incoming!!!!!!
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WJ
Non-Aligned
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Post by WJ on Oct 31, 2019 15:37:53 GMT
Useless exercise, I know, but plugging those numbers into Electoral Calculus makes for some fun reading. I think this is the first sighting in this election campaign of the phrase "Electoral Calculus".
Tin hats on everybody - Incoming!!!!!!
Do I win a prize?
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 31, 2019 15:39:07 GMT
I think this is the first sighting in this election campaign of the phrase "Electoral Calculus".
Tin hats on everybody - Incoming!!!!!!
Do I win a prize? A two week holiday for one , interning with the Tower Hamlets electoral services dept.
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WJ
Non-Aligned
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Post by WJ on Oct 31, 2019 15:44:46 GMT
A two week holiday for one , interning with the Tower Hamlets electoral services dept. Just what I always wanted
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 31, 2019 15:46:40 GMT
A two week holiday for one , interning with the Tower Hamlets electoral services dept. Just what I always wanted
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Oct 31, 2019 16:30:29 GMT
Just what I always wanted Doesn't that trigger one of our forum members?
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Nov 21, 2019 11:55:46 GMT
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msc
Non-Aligned
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Post by msc on Dec 5, 2019 21:15:50 GMT
I'll be honest, I'm not keen on this new trend of pre-hyping opinion poll results.
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Jack
Reform Party
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Post by Jack on Dec 5, 2019 21:18:39 GMT
I'll be honest, I'm not keen on this new trend of pre-hyping opinion poll results.
Especially given the recent history of them not being entirely accurate.
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Dec 6, 2019 11:15:55 GMT
Ipsos Mori comes into line with most of the other pollsters.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 6, 2019 11:29:17 GMT
I'll be honest, I'm not keen on this new trend of pre-hyping opinion poll results.
New? They've been doing it for a while now.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Dec 6, 2019 11:45:13 GMT
Substantial improvement in personal rating for Corbyn and similar fall for Johnson. Only problem is that Corbyn still remains a net 22% worse.
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Post by andrew111 on Dec 6, 2019 12:56:48 GMT
Substantial improvement in personal rating for Corbyn and similar fall for Johnson. Only problem is that Corbyn still remains a net 22% worse. So net satisfaction with Jo Swinson is just 2% worse than for Johnson and considerably better than for Corbyn. And she is 10% down without any change in satisfaction simply because Brexiteers have realised who she is, so there are 10% more dissatisfied. But of course the media narrative is quite different from reality.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 6, 2019 12:57:39 GMT
Media narratives, aren't they terrible?
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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Post by cogload on Dec 6, 2019 13:26:41 GMT
12 pts. If that is as is on the Saturday polling or ICM on Monday (probably more crucially) then we have 5 glorious years of voter suppression, rights removing screw ups to look forward to.
Still the following election should be amusing. I doubt NI will be taking part in it though.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 6, 2019 13:28:59 GMT
44% looks on the high side for the Tories, definitely (the only other recent poll saying that is Kantar, which had their usual risibly low yoof turnout figure)
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Post by tonygreaves on Dec 6, 2019 16:42:42 GMT
Media narratives, aren't they terrible? Generally a set of scumbags!
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