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ICM
Sept 5, 2019 22:10:30 GMT
Post by manchesterman on Sept 5, 2019 22:10:30 GMT
This is why Ive said in other threads that Farage is effectively the kingmaker (depending on when the election actually takes place)
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 9:08:48 GMT
Post by LDCaerdydd on Sept 6, 2019 9:08:48 GMT
Surely that second figure is how would you vote in a November election if Brexit hasn't been delivered?
If Boris delivers Brexit on 31 October then then I would imagine a good chunk of the Brexit support base will disappear.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 6, 2019 10:46:22 GMT
Well yes, obviously - and that is what respondents will mostly have been thinking even if it wasn't explicitly stated.
Hypothetical polling is still 99% pish, though.
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 15:41:09 GMT
Post by andrew111 on Sept 6, 2019 15:41:09 GMT
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 15:52:38 GMT
Post by andrew111 on Sept 6, 2019 15:52:38 GMT
Surely that second figure is how would you vote in a November election if Brexit hasn't been delivered? If Boris delivers Brexit on 31 October then then I would imagine a good chunk of the Brexit support base will disappear. the question was:
Scenario One: Imagine that Brexit is delayed beyond 31 October 2019 and a general election is held shortly after, while Britain is still a member of the European Union (EU).
I am not sure it is a very reliable indicator of what would happen though
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Deleted
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 17:07:40 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Sept 6, 2019 17:07:40 GMT
Is anyone else having problems with this document?
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 17:08:23 GMT
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Post by agbutler on Sept 6, 2019 17:08:23 GMT
Is anyone else having problems with this document? Yeah, the tables aren't loading
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Deleted
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 17:12:08 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Sept 6, 2019 17:12:08 GMT
Glad I'm not on my own. If anyone can access it can you post the full results
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Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 19:58:26 GMT
Post by Toylyyev on Sept 6, 2019 19:58:26 GMT
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ICM
Sept 6, 2019 22:28:20 GMT
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Post by andrew111 on Sept 6, 2019 22:28:20 GMT
Glad I'm not on my own. If anyone can access it can you post the full results I think i opened it on the pc earlier. Phone does not seem to like it. I just found it on the ICM website
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Deleted
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ICM
Oct 22, 2019 19:10:23 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 22, 2019 19:10:23 GMT
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cogload
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ICM
Oct 22, 2019 19:52:18 GMT
Post by cogload on Oct 22, 2019 19:52:18 GMT
As Merseymike sagely points out - ignore all polls until after October 31st.
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ICM
Oct 22, 2019 19:55:53 GMT
Post by iainbhx on Oct 22, 2019 19:55:53 GMT
The tables for that poll are to be found herePlease do not get excited over the hypotheticals.
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Deleted
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ICM
Nov 4, 2019 17:03:52 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2019 17:03:52 GMT
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ICM
Nov 4, 2019 17:05:04 GMT
Post by lancastrian on Nov 4, 2019 17:05:04 GMT
Con: 38% (+3) Lab: 31%.(+2) Lib Dem: 15% (-1) Brexit Party: 9% (-2) Green: 3% (-1) SNP: 3% UKIP: 1% Plaid: 0% Another party: 1%
Sample of 2047 surveyed 1st-4th November
ICM will be publishing a poll every Monday until the election.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2019 17:07:13 GMT
Con: 38% (+3) Lab: 31%.(+2) Lib Dem: 15% (-1) Brexit Party: 9% (-2) Green: 3% (-1) SNP: 3% UKIP: 1% Plaid: 0% Another party: 1% Sample of 2047 surveyed 1st-4th November ICM will be publishing a poll every Monday until the election. The message of recent polls is that there are already some echoes of 2017, with early signs of polarisation between the Conservatives and Labour with the Liberal Democrats and Brexit Party losing ground.
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cogload
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Post by cogload on Nov 4, 2019 17:15:43 GMT
I will take 15% at the start of the campaign. The idea is then not to screw the campaign up.
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ICM
Nov 4, 2019 17:20:31 GMT
Post by curiousliberal on Nov 4, 2019 17:20:31 GMT
Con: 38% (+3) Lab: 31%.(+2) Lib Dem: 15% (-1) Brexit Party: 9% (-2) Green: 3% (-1) SNP: 3% UKIP: 1% Plaid: 0% Another party: 1% Sample of 2047 surveyed 1st-4th November ICM will be publishing a poll every Monday until the election. The message of recent polls is that there are already some echoes of 2017, with early signs of polarisation between the Conservatives and Labour with the Liberal Democrats and Brexit Party losing ground. The worry for the Tories must be whether this is uniform or if the vote is coalescing behind their nearest rivals in enough of the right places (some Labour, some LD).
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Deleted
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ICM
Nov 4, 2019 17:34:27 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2019 17:34:27 GMT
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Deleted
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Nov 4, 2019 17:38:21 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2019 17:38:21 GMT
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