Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Dec 12, 2017 14:43:40 GMT
Post by Deleted on Dec 12, 2017 14:43:40 GMT
Like they say. One is an outlier two is a coincidence three a trend. Watch this space
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ICM
Dec 12, 2017 14:46:07 GMT
Post by tonygreaves on Dec 12, 2017 14:46:07 GMT
Since none of these changes are significant (and in each case could even amount to only one vote changing due to the rounding to whole numbers!) I suggest none of this is - er - significant. Blue lagoon time.
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ICM
Dec 12, 2017 14:47:13 GMT
via mobile
Post by beastofbedfordshire on Dec 12, 2017 14:47:13 GMT
Like they say. One is an outlier two is a coincidence three a trend. Watch this space We're at 2 now. One more poll lead needed then.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,531
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ICM
Dec 12, 2017 14:49:56 GMT
Post by The Bishop on Dec 12, 2017 14:49:56 GMT
The real point is that even if it is a "trend", it could be a very short lived one.
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,115
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ICM
Dec 17, 2017 0:28:24 GMT
Post by Jack on Dec 17, 2017 0:28:24 GMT
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,115
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 14:16:08 GMT
Post by Jack on Jan 16, 2018 14:16:08 GMT
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,165
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 14:35:45 GMT
Post by Chris from Brum on Jan 16, 2018 14:35:45 GMT
LDEM, UKIP and GRN are exactly the same as last time, including the +/- figures. That can't be right.
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 15:00:47 GMT
via mobile
Post by beastofbedfordshire on Jan 16, 2018 15:00:47 GMT
Nothing has changed...
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 15:37:01 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Jan 16, 2018 15:37:01 GMT
Margin of error
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 15:40:23 GMT
Post by carlton43 on Jan 16, 2018 15:40:23 GMT
I don't understand this outfit?
Previous return Lab 42 (+2) and now Lab 41 (+1)....so it is up another point to one point lower than last time??
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 15:42:13 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Jan 16, 2018 15:42:13 GMT
Last ICM poll Lab 40 Con 42 this poll Lab 41 Con 40
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,165
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 16:29:06 GMT
Post by Chris from Brum on Jan 16, 2018 16:29:06 GMT
It's this on both last month and this month's polls that puzzles me:
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,531
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 16, 2018 16:51:01 GMT
LDEM, UKIP and GRN are exactly the same as last time, including the +/- figures. That can't be right. Comparisons are with the last Graun poll from ICM, which had the Tories ahead. The more recent poll of theirs quoted here was for somebody else. (pollsters often do this, and have for some time - yes it is irksome)
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ICM
Jan 16, 2018 19:15:54 GMT
Post by No Offence Alan on Jan 16, 2018 19:15:54 GMT
LDEM, UKIP and GRN are exactly the same as last time, including the +/- figures. That can't be right. Comparisons are with the last Graun poll from ICM, which had the Tories ahead. The more recent poll of theirs quoted here was for somebody else. (pollsters often do this, and have for some time - yes it is irksome) It is also irksome when polls are just compared with the previous election result, which gives you no indication of more recent trends at all.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,281
Member is Online
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 22, 2018 20:21:49 GMT
(pollsters often do this, and have for some time - yes it is irksome) They're in this for the money, not to produce social research (which is fortunate as they're not exactly very good at the latter...)
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,115
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ICM
Jan 26, 2018 18:28:39 GMT
Post by Jack on Jan 26, 2018 18:28:39 GMT
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ICM
Jan 26, 2018 18:52:37 GMT
Post by ccoleman on Jan 26, 2018 18:52:37 GMT
Polling is so boring these days.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Jan 26, 2018 19:17:41 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2018 19:17:41 GMT
MPR is the future
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ICM
Jan 26, 2018 19:40:26 GMT
Post by froome on Jan 26, 2018 19:40:26 GMT
Slack water. To quote his lordship. It's all horribly jiggerish.
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ICM
Jan 26, 2018 23:24:01 GMT
Post by Andrew_S on Jan 26, 2018 23:24:01 GMT
Average of 2018 opinion polls so far, (6 polls):
Lab 41.2% Con 40.2% LD 7.5% UKIP 3.7% Greens 2.5%
Changes since GE:
Lab +0.2% Con -3.3% LD -0.1% UKIP +1.8% Greens +0.8%
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