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Post by Andrew_S on May 3, 2017 21:15:11 GMT
Kantar:
Con 48% (+2) Lab 24% (nc) LD 11% (nc) UKIP 7% (-1)
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 3, 2017 21:23:38 GMT
Kantar: Con 48% (+2) Lab 24% (nc) LD 11% (nc) UKIP 7% (-1) To be treated with extreme caution.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 3, 2017 21:24:51 GMT
Bucking the trend of the past week, is this one.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 7,950
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Post by cogload on May 9, 2017 15:51:18 GMT
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middyman
Conservative
"The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people's money."
Posts: 8,050
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Post by middyman on May 9, 2017 15:58:59 GMT
Difficult to understand why UKIP would have risen in view of recent events.. Is that alone enough to throw doubt on the credibility of the rest. I suppose we shall know soon enough.
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 6,809
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Post by jamie on May 9, 2017 17:15:53 GMT
middyman Probably just margin of error stuff. Most pollsters seem to have them in high single digits which sounds about right.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 9, 2017 18:41:02 GMT
middyman Probably just margin of error stuff. Most pollsters seem to have them in high single digits which sounds about right. I think 5% is about the level UKIP are at tbh (and of course won't get that because they're leaving so many seats uncontested)
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Post by carlton43 on May 9, 2017 19:59:16 GMT
middyman Probably just margin of error stuff. Most pollsters seem to have them in high single digits which sounds about right. I think 5% is about the level UKIP are at tbh (and of course won't get that because they're leaving so many seats uncontested) Didn't take you long to join the club either, did it?
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,235
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Post by Sibboleth on May 9, 2017 20:54:39 GMT
How fortunate that both unweighted poll internals and the recollections of individual voters are famously reliable.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 9, 2017 23:21:11 GMT
I think 5% is about the level UKIP are at tbh (and of course won't get that because they're leaving so many seats uncontested) Didn't take you long to join the club either, did it? Which club is that?
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Post by curiousliberal on May 10, 2017 1:30:16 GMT
middyman Probably just margin of error stuff. Most pollsters seem to have them in high single digits which sounds about right. I think 5% is about the level UKIP are at tbh (and of course won't get that because they're leaving so many seats uncontested) They're probably higher than that (8%ish does not seem unreasonable), but their actual result will be lower (partly due to uncontested seats, and partly due to a poor ground game). It's not too dissimilar to how our vote tends to be slightly higher than what the data might otherwise suggest prior to polling day - that's thanks to a better-than-average ground game.
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Jack
Reform Party
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Post by Jack on May 16, 2017 16:20:05 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 7,950
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Post by cogload on May 16, 2017 16:26:07 GMT
Eek. Shit.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2017 17:31:31 GMT
Don't worry, never fear - marksenior will doubtless shortly be on hand to explain how its a conspiracy and the Liberals are heading for an overall majority.
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Tom
Unionist
Posts: 1,998
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Post by Tom on May 16, 2017 17:56:54 GMT
Don't worry, never fear - marksenior will doubtless shortly be on hand to explain how its a conspiracy and the Liberals are heading for an overall majority. Yes no doubt the Lib Dems are running far better local campaigns than every other party and uniquely only their candidates are true local champions.
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Post by curiousliberal on May 16, 2017 20:14:09 GMT
Don't worry, never fear - marksenior will doubtless shortly be on hand to explain how its a conspiracy and the Liberals are heading for an overall majority. That's poor form. He hasn't suggested that there's a media conspiracy - only that the pollsters are wrong. That's not a particularly groundbreaking or edgy proposal to make.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 17, 2017 15:45:33 GMT
Is this the poll to which McDonnell has been referring?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 25, 2017 20:24:28 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on May 25, 2017 20:41:07 GMT
will be interesting to see if these recent polls showing a creeping movement from Can to Lab are outliers, just reflecting the Labour end of MoE or if there really is a hint of the Big Mo?
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 25, 2017 20:43:17 GMT
will be interesting to see if these recent polls showing a creeping movement from Can to Lab are outliers, just reflecting the Labour end of MoE or if there really is a hint of the Big Mo? All the polls post-manifestos have shown a decent move to Labour which makes me think it's real. Of course it could stall or reverse and if security continues to dominate the news (as it will at least for a few days) that can change the dynamic.
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