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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Jun 12, 2017 10:08:08 GMT
Given the ComRes polling has been so poor this time, and it is not the first time, I wonder if MGN will end their association with them?
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Post by marksenior on Jun 12, 2017 11:06:18 GMT
Again as with ICM it is not the polling itself that was wrong but the turnout weightings that were done to it
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Post by John Chanin on Jun 12, 2017 11:15:04 GMT
It would be good if polling companies returned to reporting the results of their polling (properly weighted for demographics of course), and simply added commentary to the effect that the actual result will depend on turnout......
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 12, 2017 11:41:07 GMT
Again as with ICM it is not the polling itself that was wrong but the turnout weightings that were done to it I agree - but if anything that's worse, as their methods produced good numbers which they then proceeded to screw up with faulty assumptions. (And I recognise that adjustments are a tough call to make, but the particular ComRes adjustments would always have failed to pick up big changes in turnout patterns, even if they were actually being reported to them. That's a fairly shitty way to poll IMO)
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Post by marksenior on Jun 12, 2017 12:25:12 GMT
Yes I pretty much agree with strinity . What is the way forward for the pollsters . I am struck by how good my small local survey was at picking up the general trend both this and in the last 2 GEs . The Yougov model was clearly based on similar principles but on a much larger scale and rather than a straight VI opinion poll that is the way polling will move .
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,079
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Post by Jack on Apr 14, 2018 19:09:53 GMT
ComRes have come out of hiding to report a UKIP surge!
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Apr 14, 2018 19:13:13 GMT
ComRes have come out of hiding to report a UKIP surge! thank you Ive been blocked by NCPolitics idk why tho
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 11,488
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Post by Khunanup on May 2, 2018 4:24:26 GMT
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Post by Adam in Stroud on May 2, 2018 6:49:44 GMT
Hmm. Second successive poll with a 2 point rise for us. Need a couple more to take it seriously but I'll admit that I'm in need of a straw to clutch at atm so this may haveto do.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,303
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Post by The Bishop on May 2, 2018 10:36:09 GMT
Good chance you are getting a bit of a lift from your greater visibility currently.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,106
Member is Online
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Post by Chris from Brum on May 2, 2018 10:46:18 GMT
Good chance you are getting a bit of a lift from your greater visibility currently. Every little helps, and if it results in decent council results, then visibility increases slightly again, and so on ...
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Post by froome on May 2, 2018 11:15:34 GMT
Hmm. Second successive poll with a 2 point rise for us. Need a couple more to take it seriously but I'll admit that I'm in need of a straw to clutch at atm so this may haveto do. Though it shows +4 and -1 for all the parties listed, which suggests rounding up, so don't get too excited. And only 3% left over for SNP, PC, Northern Irish parties and assorted others, which seems far too low. Was this poll only done in England?
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Post by greenchristian on May 2, 2018 15:00:33 GMT
Hmm. Second successive poll with a 2 point rise for us. Need a couple more to take it seriously but I'll admit that I'm in need of a straw to clutch at atm so this may haveto do. Though it shows +4 and -1 for all the parties listed, which suggests rounding up, so don't get too excited. And only 3% left over for SNP, PC, Northern Irish parties and assorted others, which seems far too low. Was this poll only done in England? Northern Ireland is only ever included in NI-specific polls.
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Post by Andrew_S on May 23, 2018 17:26:39 GMT
"ComRes Verified account @comres 7h7 hours ago @comres voting intention out today for @ukwethepeople - Con 41(+1) Lab 41(+1) LD 7(-2) UKIP 3(-2) Grn 3(+1) SNP 3(-) O 2(+1) full results here: bit.ly/2IE89JG"
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 28, 2018 21:32:50 GMT
"Europe Elects @europeelects 5m5 minutes ago
UK, ComRes poll:
LAB-S&D: 40% (-1) CON-ECR: 39% (-2) LDEM-ALDE: 9% (+2) UKIP-EFDD: 5% (+2) SNP-G/EFA: 3% GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
Field work: 26/09/18 – 27/09/18 Sample size: 2,036"
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Post by tonygreaves on Sept 29, 2018 14:41:51 GMT
Lots of fancy names but the same sort of numbers.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 17, 2018 18:04:43 GMT
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Nov 17, 2018 18:09:29 GMT
Similar to Opinium which may be the beginning of a trend. This seems to back up that some Conservative Leave voters are starting to return to UKIP. With most Remain voters already behind Labour or the Lib Dems in England, this could add fuel to the flames of the Conservative leadership issue.
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seanf
Non-Aligned
Posts: 629
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Post by seanf on Nov 17, 2018 19:07:00 GMT
Rather better numbers for May than with Yougov.
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Post by archaeologist on Dec 4, 2018 8:13:23 GMT
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