Deleted
Deleted Member
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YouGov
Apr 27, 2017 8:09:00 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Apr 27, 2017 8:09:00 GMT
IF this is close to the actual election result despite appalling leadership, confusion and astonishing division the Labour vote will be down by about 1 - 1.5% from 2015 and about the same as 2010. Whilst inevitably there will be considerable churn, the leap in the Conservative vote may chiefly be put down to the 5-6% fall in the UKIP vote.
Having said that, this is one poll and I am not wholly convinced the Labour vote is holding up as suggested here.
I entirely agree. Labour at 25, 26 ish feels right. I did a recanvass of previously canvassed socialists, and the number of don't knows, Green, Lib Dem, Tory, won't vote was considerable.
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YouGov
Apr 27, 2017 13:04:06 GMT
Post by Lord Twaddleford on Apr 27, 2017 13:04:06 GMT
IF this is close to the actual election result despite appalling leadership, confusion and astonishing division the Labour vote will be down by about 1 - 1.5% from 2015 and about the same as 2010. Whilst inevitably there will be considerable churn, the leap in the Conservative vote may chiefly be put down to the 5-6% fall in the UKIP vote.
Having said that, this is one poll and I am not wholly convinced the Labour vote is holding up as suggested here.
I entirely agree. Labour at 25, 26 ish feels right. I did a recanvass of previously canvassed socialists, and the number of don't knows, Green, Lib Dem, Tory, won't vote was considerable. 25-26% (27% at most) is what I expect for the Labour vote on 8th/9th June; I'd consider it a bloody miracle if Labour got 29%, to be blunt. As for the Conservative share, I don't think it'll come within touching distance of 50%, but I do believe that it'll exceed 40%.
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,108
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Post by Jack on Apr 27, 2017 13:35:37 GMT
That is not my dream. It would lead to bad consequences. 1) Complacency. 2) Some very poor new MPs (see 1983, 1997 and SNP). 4) An immediate serious and fundamental rebuild on sensible lines by core Old Labour. 5) A new formation of an 'opposition' (perhaps two) within our party. 6) Triumphalism. 7) Some damn fool policies. 8) Re-alignment by the electorate nearly overnight. I agree with all of this. Power without scrutiny is unhealthy. Which is why Theresa May saying that Westminster isn't united doesn't make any sense. Westminster isn't supposed to be united. That's the whole point of it.
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Deleted
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YouGov
Apr 28, 2017 10:19:36 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Apr 28, 2017 10:19:36 GMT
YouGov support for Burqa ban- Support 48% (-2) Oppose 42% (+1) Don't Know 10% (-1) Support for a ban in all regions outside of London, including Scotland- Support 47% Oppose 44% Don't Know 9% London is more in favour of a ban??? I have still only ever seen one person wearing a burqa, and I work in Tower Hamlets. They are very infrequently worn indeed.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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YouGov
Apr 28, 2017 10:28:46 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Apr 28, 2017 10:28:46 GMT
London is more in favour of a ban??? I have still only ever seen one person wearing a burqa, and I work in Tower Hamlets. They are very infrequently worn indeed. London was the only subsample region opposed to a Burqa ban. Then why when you exlude London does support drop?
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YouGov
Apr 28, 2017 10:44:54 GMT
Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 28, 2017 10:44:54 GMT
YouGov support for Burqa ban- Support 48% (-2) Oppose 42% (+1) Don't Know 10% (-1) Support for a ban in all regions outside of London, including Scotland- Support 47% Oppose 44% Don't Know 9% The figures you have given show support lower and opposition higher when London is removed which implies that support is higher in London and it is not mathematically possible for London to have been opposed if the figures you have posted are correct. I assume that they are not correct
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YouGov
Apr 28, 2017 10:51:23 GMT
Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 28, 2017 10:51:23 GMT
ahh now it makes sense
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,379
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Post by Crimson King on Apr 28, 2017 13:15:18 GMT
I wonder how many people who responded actually know what a Burqa is
(I know I would have to look it up to be sure)
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YouGov
Apr 28, 2017 13:21:30 GMT
Post by marksenior on Apr 28, 2017 13:21:30 GMT
I wonder how many people who responded actually know what a Burqa is (I know I would have to look it up to be sure) Surely it is what bee keepers wear when tending their hives ?
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YouGov
Apr 28, 2017 16:46:55 GMT
Post by tonygreaves on Apr 28, 2017 16:46:55 GMT
Which regions voted for a ban on kilts?
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Post by finsobruce on Apr 28, 2017 17:10:51 GMT
Which regions voted for a ban on kilts? don't know. the figures aren't com-pleat.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 11:44:17 GMT
Post by Deleted on Apr 29, 2017 11:44:17 GMT
We haven't had any GB-wide VI polls for three days now. Last weekend we had five, so perhaps there'll be another flurry of them tonight.
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msc
Non-Aligned
Posts: 859
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 12:11:22 GMT
Post by msc on Apr 29, 2017 12:11:22 GMT
We haven't had any GB-wide VI polls for three days now. Last weekend we had five, so perhaps there'll be another flurry of them tonight. YouGov sent out a poll on Thursday evening/Friday morning, so I'd expect one from them imminently. Previous one (in this direction) was 20th April, can't mind when it got published afterwards to give a better timetable.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 18:11:55 GMT
Post by Deleted on Apr 29, 2017 18:11:55 GMT
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Post by gwynthegriff on Apr 29, 2017 19:56:18 GMT
I see my question has not been taken entirely seriously. You're beginning to understand this Forum!
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 20:08:13 GMT
Post by Andrew_S on Apr 29, 2017 20:08:13 GMT
that's just what the nation was crying out for - more polls! I find election campaigns without many opinion polls rather boring because it means that gossip — for want of a better word — is the only thing we have to go on. Also, at the last election YouGov were publishing a new poll 6 days a week, so this represents a pretty drastic reduction.
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 21:05:52 GMT
Post by justin124 on Apr 29, 2017 21:05:52 GMT
Apparently tomorrow's Yougov has Tory lead at 13% - compared with 23% a week ago.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 21:12:06 GMT
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Post by cogload on Apr 29, 2017 21:12:06 GMT
Apparently tomorrow's Yougov has Tory lead at 13% - compared with 23% a week ago. Yep. Thus evergone should calm down.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 21:12:26 GMT
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Post by cogload on Apr 29, 2017 21:12:26 GMT
Apparently tomorrow's Yougov has Tory lead at 13% - compared with 23% a week ago. Yup.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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YouGov
Apr 29, 2017 21:20:26 GMT
Post by Deleted on Apr 29, 2017 21:20:26 GMT
Apparently tomorrow's Yougov has Tory lead at 13% - compared with 23% a week ago. Yep. Thus evergone should calm down. I'm as cool as a cucumber to hear my party's lead has apparently fallen by 10% in a week!
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